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Friday, November 23, 2007

How PSLE Aggregate and T-Scores are calculated

Now that the dust has settled, we can perhaps take a look at the most asked, yet least answered question about the PSLE. That question is –

How are PSLE Aggregate Scores calculated?

To understand how PSLE Aggregate Scores are calculated, we must first understand T-Score. T-Score is the adjusted score a student will get for a subject, after a series of tabulations has been made.

Formula for T-Score


X = Raw score of student
Y = Average Score of the whole cohort
Z = Standard Deviation* (SD)

Standard Deviation* (SD) is the spread of the marks around the average.

Example 1 -
Allan, Bernard and Charles have $45, $50 and $55 respectively. They have an average of $50 each.

Example 2 -
Dan, Edward and Frank have $10, $50 and $90 respectively. They also have an average of $50 each.

In Example 1, the spread ($45 to average of $50 and $55 to average of $50) is smaller than the spread in Example 2, where the spread is bigger ($10 to average of $50 and $90 to average of $50)

As such, Example 1 will have a smaller SD, as compared to Example 2.

A more detailed explanation of how SD is calculated can be found in this link.


Simpler Way to read Standard Deviation (SD)

If the average score of 3000 pupils who sat for Science Test is 50 marks and the SD is 5, it means that 2/3 of the 3000 pupils have scored 5 marks around the average, which means 2000 of the students scored from 45 to 55 marks.

If the average score of the same 3000 pupils who sat for Mathematics Test is 50 marks and the SD is now 10, it means that 2/3 of the 3000 pupils have scored 10 marks around the average, which means 2000 students scored from 40 to 60 marks.


Example of how T-score is calculated

Li Ting’s score for Mathematics – 90 (X)
Average score of cohort – 75 (Y)
Standard Deviation - 20 (Z) (this means 2/3 of cohort scored from 55 to 95)

Using the T-Score formula

T = 50 + 10(X – Y) / Z

T = 50 + 10 x (90 – 75) / 20

= 50 + 10 x 15/20

= 50 + 10 x 0.75

= 57.5

Li Ting’s T-score for Mathematics is 57.5

Now that we have covered T-score, we can take a look at PSLE Aggregate Score.


Using T-Score to Calculate PSLE Aggregate Score

Let’s now take a look at Li Ting’s total performance



The cohort’s average and standard deviation plays a big part in Li Ting’s score. To demonstrate, let’s move the average scores of all subjects down by 10 marks each, keeping all other variables (raw score and SD) constant. This is how Li Ting’s score will now look like.




Take note that Li Ting’s aggregate goes up from 245 to 260 when the averages of all subjects went down by 10 marks each. This shows that if the cohort is weaker, Li Ting’s aggregate score will increase, even if she scores the same marks for all the subjects.

It is therefore not accurate to compare a student’s aggregate score in a particular year, to the aggregate score of another student in a different year. Each year will have a different average for all the subjects.

Parents who have more than 1 child, tend to compare each child’s PSLE Aggregate Score with his/her sibling's score. This is not a very fair comparison.


Final Note

Because PSLE aggregate score is based on T-scores, theoretically, there is no such thing as “maximum aggregate score”.

Many parents believe the (non-existent) maximum aggregate is 300. That is a misconception.

To demonstrate, I have bumped up Li Ting’s score (in Table 3) to full marks for all her subjects, using the same averages and SDs found in Table 2.




Note that although Li Ting scored 100% marks for all subjects, her PSLE Aggregate Score is only 286. She did not score the (imaginary and non-existent maximum) PSLE Aggregate Score of 300!

The only way to score that 300 (or even above that), is to have a very weak cohort in your year.


So if our imaginary Li Ting scored 100% for all her subjects and still only scored 286 for her PSLE Aggregate, how did Ms Natasha score a PSLE Aggregate of 294 for the year 2007? I don’t have the stats, but my guess is that the averages and SDs of the individual subjects of the cohort played a big role.

In any case, 294 is a respectable score, and we should give credit where it is due. It is an all time high and Ms Natasha definitely deserves the recognition for her outstanding performance.

I hope the article in this post gives parents and students a better picture how PSLE Aggregate Scores are calculated.

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Update 14 July 2008 - The PSLE Aggregate Score Calculator is available for free.

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37 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for this highly informative website. With your experience, I hope you would answer my following questions:

(1) Are the PSLE subjects graded according to one's raw scores or graded after the marks have been moderated. Example, if one scored 88 marks for Science in a tough paper, would it be an A or A*?

(2) If one consistently scored 75% for English based on top schools' standard, will it translate to an average, below average, or above average performance in the PSLE?

Thanks!

Excel Eduservice said...

Hello,

1) All scores will go through the T-score calculation. As to the details on the manner how they are marked, MOE has been very silent and "secretive" about that. Even many teachers and principals themselves are in the dark and do not know the whole picture. You can try calling MOE up, but I seriously doubt it will be worth your while.

2) Personally, I feel that as far as English is concerned, the papers from "top schools" and "other schools" vary not as much as the Maths or Science papers. As such, I would prefer to be conservative. Hence, if a student scores about 70 to 75 for top school papers, that should be about what he or she would score for PSLE.

Anonymous said...

I am not able to find out under what circumstances a student can fail PSLE.
How are students taking PSLE assessed to be 'not ready for secondary schools' ?

Anonymous said...

is it true that the passing mark for PSLE 20?

Excel Eduservice said...

To anonymous,

Please don't eventhink about failure. That is a very negative approach.

Believe in yourself. You can make it!

Tajdeen said...

It is preety good to read your article posted today..Thanks for the detailed T Score information..Since this year my son is taking PSLE exam, i am trying to understand how the PSLE score works..It is pity that many of the PSLE students who are sitting in the exam are now aware and understand fully of the T-Score including many of the parents.. Having gone thru your explanation, i am verymuch understand about this T-Score. I shall pass this website information to other parents who are taking PSLE exam.

Thanks

tajdeen said...

i made a small spelling mistake..in my previous posting, i had mentioned

"It is pity that many of the PSLE students who are sitting in the exam are now aware" shoud be read as not aware

Anonymous said...

hai
your comments are Really wounderful and helpful for me .

Anonymous said...

Hello,

I was just wondering, what happens if the marks a student gets for a subject is lower than the average of the whole cohort? Will the student get zero for that subject even if he had a B for that subject? Wouldn't that be unfair, Like, getting 185 for the grades A A B A.
Thanks

Excel Eduservice said...

If someone scores below average of the whole cohort, the aggregate score will be less than 200.

200 is the average of every year's cohort.

Anonymous said...

This is so fake.The PSLE score is not calculated like that!

Anonymous said...

PSLE T-score is calculated like that. Is it true that the average is 200 of each year?

Excel Eduservice said...

Statistically, the average should be 200. That’s because the t-score will force the average of each subject to be 50.

Using the forumula

T = 50 + 10 x (Raw Score – Mean)/SD

So if the raw score of the pupil = average (mean) of the cohort,

T = 50 + 10 x (0)/SD

T = 50 + 0

T = 50

That is average for 1 subject.

If the student scores the exact average of the cohort for all subjects ----

4 subjects x 50 = 200.

So it should be 200 as average.

Anonymous said...

Hi, So does it mean that for this year highest is 287 which is 7 points lower than in 2007. The overall COP for most schools will be lower as well ?

Excel Eduservice said...

Q:Hi, So does it mean that for this year highest is 287 which is 7 points lower than in 2007. The overall COP for most schools will be lower as well ?

A: No, it does not work that way.

psle6 said...

in tat case do u think choosing a sec sch 2-3 points this year is much riskier.

psle6 said...

sorry i mean 2-3 points above my score as 1st choice. i got 241 but i chosen bt panjang which is 243.

Anonymous said...

How does the different number of pupils taking the various MT affect the calculation of individual subject T-score? In other words, is there an advantage to top score in a MT with a much smaller number of pupils taking the same MT?

Excel Eduservice said...

Q: How does the different number of pupils taking the various MT affect the calculation of individual subject T-score? In other words, is there an advantage to top score in a MT with a much smaller number of pupils taking the same MT?

A: I really have no idea. There are so many "smaller number" of MTs like French, Tamil, Urdu etc. I have no idea how well they have done. Maybe you can try asking some senior teachers in your school.

Anonymous said...

Wow....

Anu said...

Hi I have this burning doubt for past so many months. Please clarify. Is the average for each mother tongue calculated individually? I mean a different average each for chinese, malay, tamil etc., What happens to srudents who have taken non-tamil india languages under BTTSAL? My son has taken hindi and i'm worried that his score will be lower on average compared with other MT. Some one please let me know where i can clarify this doubt.

Thanks
Anu

Excel Eduservice said...

Anu, it is best you check out with MOE itself.

Grace said...

Hi, is it true that 'importance' of English and Chinese is "double" that of Maths and Science since it is total 200 marks for English and also Chinese? Or may I ask what is the 'ideal' total T-score for each subject to arrive at total of 300? I was told to put a lot more emphasis on English and Chinese since it is 200 marks for each of these 2 subjects. Thank you!

Excel Eduservice said...

Grace,

There is no bias towards any subject. Everything is even.

Here is a more detailed explanation.

http://road-to-psle.blogspot.com/2007/11/more-on-psle-aggregate-and-t-scores.html

Timothy and Tina said...

My PSLE got 3 As and 1 A* but my aggregrate is only 199 I got A in Math,MT and Science and A* in english while my sister got 2 As and 2 Bs.She got As in English and maths and B in MT and science and got 239.Me and my sister are twins please explain.

Excel Eduservice said...

I have never come across any student with 3As, 1A* and yet, a score of 199. Can’t explain. Did you try to appeal?

Your sister’s score looks more typical of a 2A, 2B student.

Grace Prihanto said...

I am very worried about my daughter she got all As and scored 228 and she got posted to Loyang Sec please explain it to me.I am very grateful

Excel Eduservice said...

The Aggregate score is based on the score of the student against the cohort. The grades (A*, A, B etc) are the student’s personal grades, without considering the performance of the cohort.

A particular student may score 1A* and 3As, which may hover near the 90% mark for the 3As and 90+ or even 100 for the A*. That may give him or her 260+ for an aggregate score.

Another student may score 4As, but he or she have scored just above the B grade. That may give around 230 as the aggregate score.

Since only the grades and aggregate score and not the individual scores are shown, students and parents may think that there is a disparity, since it appears that 1A* can give a variance of about nearly 30+ points in aggregate.

To be able to calculate the aggregate score, you must know the individual subjects’ scores as well as the cohort’s averages and standard deviations.

Anonymous said...

I almost repeated P6 I am in EM3 my aggregate was 99 Is it possible to fail everything and go to express like with grades like EDEE

Anonymous said...

Is it true that PSLE is slightly easier than what pupils normally think? Because I bought the PSLE booklet and the questions are quite easy.

I scored : 248

248 from my school's SA1

Anonymous said...

did you take your score over 400 times 0.7? Or did you times 0.75? If you times 0.7, then your score is superb!

Anonymous said...

Hm...I times 0.72


345 x 0.72 = 248.4

Anonymous said...

Good post. High T-scores are impacted by
(A) A high raw score
(B) A low average (mean)
(C) A low Standard deviation

I feel (C) namely the Standard deviation plays the most important part of these 3. Could you plz tell me from you 'gut feel' or estimate:
(1) What is the level of SD?
(2) Is the SD high (20+) or low(below 15) for mother tongue?
Thanks!

CrazyDad said...

Here are my estimation of average and SD to calculate T score base on some data I gathered from the web. Basically we know that for Math, national passing rate is 83% and those over 75 point is 42%. So mapping this to Student T Distribution, I can estimate the Average to be 60 point while the standard deviation (SD) to be 13. Please advise on my estimation.

Anonymous said...

The average T-score may or may not be 200 as the formula accounts for lower raw than mean score. i.e.
T=50+10((RS-MS)/SD)
...
T=50+10((-X)/SD)
T=50+(-10X)/SD
...
Will Result in:
T<50

Anonymous said...

Is it possible to score 3 A* and 1 A and get aggregate score of only 254?

Anonymous said...

yep, that means the A* are very low and A is also very low.